SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosenborg | Draw | Tromso IL |
53.8% ( 0.26) | 24.22% ( -0.1) | 21.98% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( 0.23) | 50.39% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( 0.2) | 72.33% ( -0.2) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( 0.19) | 18.65% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.02% ( 0.31) | 49.97% ( -0.31) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( -0.03) | 37.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% ( -0.03) | 74.34% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosenborg | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.98% |
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