SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
42.89% ( -2.55) | 23.44% ( 0.22) | 33.66% ( 2.33) |
| Both teams to score 62.85% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.22% ( -0.17) | 38.78% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.91% ( -0.18) | 61.09% ( 0.17) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( -1.1) | 18.47% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.33% ( -1.89) | 49.67% ( 1.89) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( 1.26) | 22.91% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( 1.82) | 56.67% ( -1.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.61% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.66% |
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