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Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase

Sarajevo
2 - 3
Aktobe

Sarajevo win 4-3 on penalties
Guliashvili (57'), Oliveira (96')
Dordevic (52'), Rockov (73'), Durickovic (79'), Soldo (120+2')
Durickovic (105+1')
FT
(aet)
Umaev (41'), Tanzharikov (75'), Hestefano Jean (93')
Cevallos (26'), Umaev (44'), Vatajelu (116'), Umaniyazov (120+3')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Sarajevo and Aktobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aktobe 0-1 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 11 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Aktobe 0-1 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 11 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarajevo win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Aktobe had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarajevo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aktobe win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).

Result
SarajevoDrawAktobe
40.59% (0.191 0.19) 26.15% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 33.26% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.25% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78% (-0.394 -0.39)51.21% (0.396 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (-0.345 -0.34)73.05% (0.34700000000001 0.35)
Sarajevo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)24.88% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51% (-0.109 -0.11)59.49% (0.111 0.11)
Aktobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.366 -0.37)29.11% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96% (-0.454 -0.45)65.04% (0.455 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Sarajevo 40.58%
    Aktobe 33.26%
    Draw 26.14%
SarajevoDrawAktobe
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.01% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.51% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aktobe 0-1 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 11 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarajevo 1-1 Torpedo (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 20 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Torpedo 2-2 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarajevo 0-1 Milsami
Thursday, July 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Milsami 0-0 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 8 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarajevo 0-1 Celtic
Thursday, October 1 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Aktobe 0-1 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 11 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aktobe 0-1 Sepsi
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sepsi 1-1 Aktobe
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aktobe 1-2 Torpedo
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Torpedo 1-4 Aktobe
Thursday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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