Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Ortaliq Stadion
Bessmertny (65'), Tanzharikov (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Aktobe and Sarajevo.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Last Game: Aktobe 0-1 SepsiThursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aktobe win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Sarajevo had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aktobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Sarajevo win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Aktobe | Draw | Sarajevo |
37.49% ( -0.02) | 26.14% ( 0.01) | 36.37% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( -0.02) |
| 49.21% ( -0.02) | 50.78% ( 0.02) |
| 27.32% ( -0.02) | 72.68% ( 0.02) |
| 73.64% ( -0.02) | 26.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.49% ( -0.02) | 61.51% ( 0.03) |
| 72.99% ( -0.01) | 27.01% ( 0.01) |
