Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
