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EFL Cup | Last 16
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
SL

Burnley
0 - 1
Spurs


Roberts (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moura (68')
Heung-min (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tottenham Hotspur in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawTottenham Hotspur
30.79%26.35%42.86%
Both teams to score 51.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25%52.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62%74.38%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45%31.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05%67.95%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59%24.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17%58.83%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 30.79%
    Tottenham Hotspur 42.86%
    Draw 26.34%
BurnleyDrawTottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 8.88%
2-1 @ 7.23%
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.96%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 10.86%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-2 @ 7.66%
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 42.86%

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