SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Aberdeen | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Celtic | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Dundee | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Hearts | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Hibernian | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Kilmarnock | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Motherwell | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Rangers | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Ross County | 0 | nan | |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 0 | nan | |
| 12 | St Mirren | 0 | nan |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Valur Reykjavik had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Valur Reykjavik win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Valur Reykjavik |
42.41% ( 0.77) | 23.16% ( -0.01) | 34.43% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.83% ( -0.12) | 37.17% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.63% ( -0.13) | 59.37% ( 0.13) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( 0.27) | 18.02% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% ( 0.46) | 48.89% ( -0.47) |
| Valur Reykjavik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( -0.45) | 21.74% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.08% ( -0.7) | 54.92% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Valur Reykjavik |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.84% Total : 42.41% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.15% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.56% Total : 34.43% |
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