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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.89%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 5.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.11%) and 4-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
82.89% ( -0.3) | 11.26% ( 0.3) | 5.84% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.13% ( -1.82) | 28.87% ( 1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.19% ( -2.27) | 49.81% ( 2.27) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.92% ( -0.38) | 5.08% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.78% ( -1.16) | 20.22% ( 1.15) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.4% ( -1.52) | 49.6% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.62% ( -1.09) | 84.38% ( 1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.6)4-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.22)5-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.16)6-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.17)6-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.16)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.14)7-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.79% Total : 82.89% | 1-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.73% Total : 11.26% | 1-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.23% Total : 5.84% |
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