SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valur Reykjavik win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valur Reykjavik win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valur Reykjavik | Draw | St Mirren |
49.33% ( 0.61) | 22.83% ( -0.16) | 27.84% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 61.7% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( 0.44) | 38.87% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( 0.46) | 61.18% ( -0.46) |
| Valur Reykjavik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( 0.38) | 16.02% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.64% ( 0.7) | 45.35% ( -0.69) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.08) | 26.53% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.26% ( -0.1) | 61.74% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valur Reykjavik | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.33% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.84% |
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