SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valur Reykjavik win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Vllaznia Shkoder had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valur Reykjavik win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Vllaznia Shkoder win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valur Reykjavik | Draw | Vllaznia Shkoder |
49.14% ( -0.07) | 24% ( 0.02) | 26.86% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( -0.06) | 45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( -0.06) | 67.35% ( 0.05) |
| Valur Reykjavik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( -0.05) | 18.4% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.45% ( -0.08) | 49.55% ( 0.08) |
| Vllaznia Shkoder Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( 0) | 30.42% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.37% ( 0) | 66.62% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valur Reykjavik | Draw | Vllaznia Shkoder |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 26.86% |
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