SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valur Reykjavik win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Vllaznia Shkoder had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valur Reykjavik win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Vllaznia Shkoder win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valur Reykjavik would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vllaznia Shkoder | Draw | Valur Reykjavik |
31.07% ( -0.33) | 22.98% ( 0.16) | 45.95% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 63.39% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.41% ( -0.96) | 37.59% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.18% ( -1.04) | 59.82% ( 1.04) |
| Vllaznia Shkoder Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( -0.66) | 23.83% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( -0.96) | 58% ( 0.96) |
| Valur Reykjavik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( -0.31) | 16.78% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.27% ( -0.56) | 46.73% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vllaznia Shkoder | Draw | Valur Reykjavik |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.32% Total : 45.95% |
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