Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vikingur Reykjavik win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vikingur Reykjavik win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vikingur Reykjavik would win this match.
