Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Celje had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Celje win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Celje
46.95% ( 0.01)	26% ( -0.01)	27.05% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78% (

0.01)

53.22% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.21% (

0.01)

74.78% (

-0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

0.01)

22.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71% (

0.02)

56.29% (

-0.02)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.37% (

-0)

34.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.65% (

-0)

71.35% (

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 46.95%

Celje 27.05%

Draw 26%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Celje
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.95%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.05%