SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
44.96% ( 0.15) | 25.29% ( 0.01) | 29.74% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.55% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% ( -0.13) | 48.86% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( -0.12) | 70.96% ( 0.12) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( 0.01) | 21.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.11% ( 0.02) | 54.89% ( -0.02) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( -0.18) | 30.31% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( -0.22) | 66.49% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.74% |
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