Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 21.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.