Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 65.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.
