Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Inhulets had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Inhulets win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
