Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.