With the visitors already having two competitive fixtures in their legs, Panathinaikos will be wary of being caught short in terms of fitness. However, we expect Alonso's men to come through in a professional manner, potentially with a goal in either half.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Botev Plovdiv win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
