SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Aston Villa |
46.27% ( -0.04) | 22.29% ( 0) | 31.44% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.21% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.02% ( 0.01) | 33.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.16% ( 0.01) | 55.84% ( -0.02) |
| Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( -0.01) | 15.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.03% ( -0.02) | 43.97% ( 0.02) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( 0.02) | 21.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% ( 0.04) | 55.09% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.02% 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 46.27% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 31.44% |
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