Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
