Sparta Prague
1 - 4
Lille

Dockal (47')
Heca (53'), Sacek (55'), Dockal (64')
Krejci (23')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yazici (45+1', 60', 75'), Ikone (66')
Botman (31'), Bradaric (45+3'), Sanches (53'), Bamba (74')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Europa League Group Stage clash between Sparta Prague and Lille.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	Lille
35.82%	26.58%	37.6%

Both teams to score 52.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.33%

52.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.69%

74.31%

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77%

28.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07%

63.93%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81%

27.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4%

62.59%

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 35.82%

Lille 37.6%

Draw 26.58%

Sparta Prague	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.82%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58%	0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.6%