Crotone
0 - 2
AC Milan

Marrone (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kessie (45+2' pen.), Diaz (50')
Pioli (57'), Gabbia (63'), Hernandez (78'), Leao (90+4')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A game between Crotone and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Crotone	Draw	AC Milan
27.44%	23.55%	49.01%

Both teams to score 58.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.47%

42.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.06%

64.94%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3%

28.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47%

64.53%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.49%

17.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.98%

48.02%

Score Analysis

Crotone 27.44%

AC Milan 49.01%

Draw 23.55%

Crotone	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 6.82% 1-0 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.49% Total : 27.44%	1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.55%	1-2 @ 9.52% 0-1 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 5.53% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.41% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.01%