SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Crotone win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crotone | Draw | AC Milan |
| 27.44% | 23.55% | 49.01% |
| Both teams to score 58.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% | 42.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% | 64.94% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% | 28.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.47% | 64.53% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% | 17.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.98% | 48.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crotone | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 6.82% 1-0 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.49% Total : 27.44% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-1 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 5.53% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.45% 1-4 @ 2.41% 0-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.01% |
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