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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 26, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
RL

AC Milan
3 - 3
Roma

Ibrahimovic (2', 79' pen.), Saelemaekers (47')
Leao (70'), Ibrahimovic (75'), Hernandez (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dzeko (14'), Veretout (71' pen.), Kumbulla (84')
Pedro (77'), Cristante (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawRoma
44.48%24.04%31.48%
Both teams to score 59.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.54%42.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.14%64.86%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7%19.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95%51.05%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04%25.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.04%60.96%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 44.48%
    Roma 31.48%
    Draw 24.04%
AC MilanDrawRoma
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 44.48%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-1 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 31.48%


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