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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 26, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
0 - 3
Luhansk


Shakhov (43'), Tankovic (49'), Simoes (55'), Svarnas (70')
Shakhov (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gromov (61'), Kabaiev (76'), Yurchenko (85' pen.)
Vernydub (49'), Kochergin (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
AEK AthensDrawZorya Luhansk
52.57%26.38%21.05%
Both teams to score 43.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.76%59.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35%79.66%
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3%22.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.64%56.36%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43%43.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23%79.77%
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 52.56%
    Zorya Luhansk 21.05%
    Draw 26.38%
AEK AthensDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 14.66%
2-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 9.03%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 4.47%
4-0 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 5.06%
0-2 @ 3.41%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.04%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 21.05%


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