Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.