Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
