Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	Leicester City
32.95%	27.08%	39.97%

Both teams to score 50.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95%

55.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69%

76.31%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76%

31.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.42%

67.58%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.03%

26.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.69%

62.31%

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 32.95%

Leicester City 39.97%

Draw 27.08%

AEK Athens	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.7% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.95%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.97%