Luhansk
1 - 4
AEK Athens

Kochergin (81')
Vernydub (66')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tankovic (7'), Mantalos (34'), Livaja (54', 81')
Mantalos (30'), Ansarifard (77'), Insua (87')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday night's Europa League Group G clash between Zorya Luhansk and AEK Athens, including predictions, team news and a form guide.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	AEK Athens
28.17%	23.37%	48.46%

Both teams to score 60.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.8%

41.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.4%

63.59%

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5%

27.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.99%

63%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79%

17.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.5%

47.5%

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 28.17%

AEK Athens 48.46%

Draw 23.37%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	AEK Athens
2-1 @ 6.94% 1-0 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 3.94% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.17%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 9.46% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 2.44% 0-4 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.58% Other @ 4.01% Total : 48.46%