MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 20:58:27
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Thursday, November 21
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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
B

Moreirense
2 - 3
Braga

Vitoria (80' pen.), Paulinho (83')
Ismael Valente Ramos (16'), Jorge (52'), Rosic (90+6'), Lacerda (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Martins (39'), Medeiros (41'), Horta (90+5')
Oliveira (54'), Horta (90+8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawBraga
17.02%24.38%58.6%
Both teams to score 42.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02%56.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12%77.88%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.04%46.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.55%82.45%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67%19.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.9%51.1%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 17.02%
    Braga 58.59%
    Draw 24.37%
MoreirenseDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.86%
2-1 @ 4.26%
2-0 @ 2.59%
3-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.02%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 14.91%
0-2 @ 12.25%
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-3 @ 6.72%
1-3 @ 5.08%
0-4 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.92%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 58.59%

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