Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
