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CL
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2021 at 8pm UK
Celtic Park
LL

Celtic
0 - 4
B. Leverkusen


Rogic (50'), Carter-Vickers (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hincapie (25'), Wirtz (35'), Alario (58' pen.), Adli (90+4')
Bakker (41')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Celtic win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawBayer Leverkusen
35.24%23.97%40.79%
Both teams to score 61.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04%40.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65%63.35%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94%23.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11%56.89%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7%20.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32%52.68%
Score Analysis
    Celtic 35.24%
    Bayer Leverkusen 40.79%
    Draw 23.97%
CelticDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.03%
1-0 @ 6.87%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 3.13%
3-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.24%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-1 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 4.64%
2-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 1.85%
2-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 40.79%

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