SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Venezia |
46.64% ( 0.06) | 25.9% ( -0.03) | 27.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( 0.09) | 52.57% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% ( 0.07) | 74.22% ( -0.08) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( 0.06) | 22.52% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( 0.09) | 56.1% ( -0.1) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% ( 0.02) | 33.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.38% ( 0.02) | 70.62% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.46% |
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