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Friday, November 8
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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
ML

Lazio
2 - 2
AC Milan

Castellanos (62'), Dia (66')
Rovella (39'), Zaccagni (64'), Patric (85'), Guendouzi (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pavlovic (8'), Leao (72')
Fofana (20'), Terracciano (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-2 AC Milan

These clubs have not drawn with each other in Serie A since 2018 - Milan lead 8-3 in wins since then - but the points will be shared on Saturday night. Neither side is entirely convincing in defence, so a selection of speedy and skilful forwards can thrive at Stadio Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
43.71% (0.209 0.21) 25.37% (-0.081 -0.08) 30.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 54.91% (0.198 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (0.28700000000001 0.29)48.67% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (0.26 0.26)70.79% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (0.221 0.22)22.22% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (0.332 0.33)55.65% (-0.333 -0.33)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)29.4% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (0.067 0.07)65.39% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 43.71%
    AC Milan 30.92%
    Draw 25.37%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Udinese 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Venezia
Sunday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Lazio
Saturday, August 10 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Lazio
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Frosinone 0-2 Lazio
Saturday, August 3 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Hansa Rostock 0-3 Lazio
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Torino
Saturday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 AC Milan (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 1 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man City 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, July 27 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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