SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
43.71% ( 0.21) | 25.37% ( -0.08) | 30.92% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( 0.29) | 48.67% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( 0.26) | 70.79% ( -0.26) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( 0.22) | 22.22% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( 0.33) | 55.65% ( -0.33) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( 0.05) | 29.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% ( 0.07) | 65.39% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.71% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.92% |
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