SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
56.96% ( -0.05) | 24.9% ( -0.01) | 18.14% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.32% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.65% ( 0.12) | 57.35% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( 0.1) | 78.17% ( -0.1) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( 0.03) | 20.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.64% ( 0.05) | 52.36% ( -0.05) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.23% ( 0.15) | 45.77% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.46% ( 0.12) | 81.54% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 14.76% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.37% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 18.14% |
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