Following their Champions League failures, both sides will be keen to make it up to their supporters with a place in the Europa League, so we expect an end-to-end affair here. We can also see the teams matching each other over the course of the game, resulting in honours even at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
