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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion Letzigrund
Q

FC Zurich
2 - 2
Qarabag FK

Medvedev (4' og.), Santini (90+6')
Kryeziu (36'), Kamberi (60'), Conde (84'), Santini (97'), Okita (103'), Hornschuh (105+2')
FT
(aet)
Kady (56'), Kwabena (98')
Vesovic (39'), Medvedev (48'), Richard (50'), Bayramov (74'), Kady (76'), Mahammadaliyev (90+3'), Richard (93')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Zurich 0-0 Luzern
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 3-2 FC Zurich
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League

We say: FC Zurich 1-1 Qarabag FK (Qarabag FK to win 4-3 on aggregate)

Both teams caused problems for one another in the final third last week and more goalmouth action is to be expected in the second leg. However, we can see Qarabag frustrating their opponents and forcing them to share the spoils on Wednesday, which would be enough for the visitors to progress to the next round on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 55.2%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 1-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%).

Result
FC ZurichDrawQarabag FK
55.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 21.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.67%35.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.64% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.36%
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.81% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)63.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Zurich 55.2%
    Qarabag FK 23.54%
    Draw 21.25%
FC ZurichDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 7.52% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.34% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 4.21% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.38%
5-0 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.2%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.58%
3-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.25%
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 4.58%
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 23.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Zurich 0-0 Luzern
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 3-2 FC Zurich
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Young Boys 4-0 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 16 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-3 Luzern
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 FC Zurich
Thursday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: FC Zurich 2-2 Lausanne
Thursday, May 12 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 3-2 FC Zurich
Tuesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 5-1 Lech Poznan
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-0 Qarabag FK
Tuesday, July 5 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag FK 0-3 Marseille
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Qarabag FK
Thursday, February 17 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 3-0 Qarabag FK
Thursday, December 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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