Ultimately, it is difficult to see anything beyond a comfortable home win on Thursday. Fenerbahce outplayed their opponents away from home last week, and we expect them to keep Austria Vienna at arms length once again to wrap up their progression to the group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Austria Vienna win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Austria Vienna
50.88% ( -0)	24.74% ( -0.02)	24.37% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.99% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.81% (

0.11)

50.19% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.85% (

0.1)

72.15% (

-0.1)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

0.05)

19.72% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.26% (

0.07)

51.74% (

-0.07)

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

0.09)

35.23% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

0.09)

71.99% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 50.88%

Austria Vienna 24.37%

Draw 24.74%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Austria Vienna
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.88%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.37%