Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Generali Arena
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Austria Vienna 1-1 Fenerbahce
Despite the visitors boasting superior individual quality, we can envisage Austria Vienna digging in to claim a draw.
That outcome would probably suit both parties, with Fenerbahce feeling that they are far more likely to win in front of a raucous Sukru Saracoglu Stadium next Thursday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result |
| Austria Vienna | Draw | Fenerbahce |
33.57% ( -0.07) | 25.98% ( -0.02) | 40.45% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.05) |
| 49.55% ( 0.08) | 50.45% ( -0.08) |
| 27.61% ( 0.07) | 72.38% ( -0.07) |
| 71.45% ( -0.01) | 28.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.67% ( -0.01) | 64.33% ( 0.01) |
| 75.39% ( 0.08) | 24.61% ( -0.08) |
