Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 62%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lokomotivi Tbilisi had a probability of 15.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.