Elfsborg have enjoyed a brilliant run of results since the arrival of Hiljemark in the managerial position, while Rijeka have failed to win away from home in six matches, suggesting the hosts will advance here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
Elfsborg	Draw	HNK Rijeka
52.01% ( 0.01)	23.64% ( -0)	24.35% ( -0)

Both teams to score 55.48% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

0.01)

45.57% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11% (

0.01)

67.89% (

-0.01)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.48% (

0.01)

17.52% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.96% (

0.01)

48.04% (

-0.01)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

32.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71% (

69.29% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Elfsborg 52.01%

HNK Rijeka 24.35%

Draw 23.64%

Elfsborg	Draw	HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.73% Total : 52.01%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.64%	0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.35%