Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for Slovan Liberec had a probability of 22.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Slovan Liberec win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.