Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Braga had a probability of 38.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.13%) and 3-1 (5.05%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Braga
41.23%	20.31%	38.46%

Both teams to score 76.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.16%

21.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.32%

40.67%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.83%

12.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.19%

37.8%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9%

13.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.28%

39.71%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 41.23%

Braga 38.46%

Draw 20.31%

Leicester City	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 7.19% 3-2 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 5.05% 2-0 @ 3.53% 1-0 @ 3.36% 4-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.66% 3-0 @ 2.48% 4-3 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.31% 5-2 @ 1.14% 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.75% Total : 41.23%	2-2 @ 7.31% 1-1 @ 6.82% 3-3 @ 3.48% 0-0 @ 1.59% 4-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.31%	1-2 @ 6.94% 2-3 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 4.7% 0-2 @ 3.29% 0-1 @ 3.24% 2-4 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.23% 3-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-5 @ 1.02% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.31% Total : 38.46%