Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Braga had a probability of 38.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.13%) and 3-1 (5.05%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
