Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
