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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Oct 18, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
King Power Stadium
AV

Leicester
0 - 1
Aston Villa


Perez (31'), Tielemans (41'), Castagne (73'), Evans (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barkley (90+1')
McGinn (32'), Cash (40'), Luiz (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Leicester CityDrawAston Villa
52.72%25.1%22.18%
Both teams to score 48.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.39%53.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.89%75.1%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.67%20.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.29%52.71%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83%39.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.11%75.88%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 52.7%
    Aston Villa 22.18%
    Draw 25.09%
Leicester CityDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 12.68%
2-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.47%
3-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 52.7%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.96%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.46%
1-2 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 22.18%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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