Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Leicester City in this match.
