SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Olympiacos |
29.92% ( 0.07) | 23% ( 0.05) | 47.07% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.62% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0.2) | 38.3% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.41% ( -0.22) | 60.58% ( 0.21) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( -0.06) | 24.88% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.5% ( -0.07) | 59.49% ( 0.07) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( -0.13) | 16.63% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.54% ( -0.23) | 46.46% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.92% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.36% Total : 47.07% |
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