SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lyon |
50.49% ( -0.17) | 24% ( 0) | 25.5% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.5% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.9% ( 0.13) | 46.1% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( 0.12) | 68.4% ( -0.12) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( -0.02) | 18.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.62% ( -0.03) | 49.38% ( 0.03) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.21) | 32.07% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( 0.24) | 68.54% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.49% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 25.5% |
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