SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 58.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Olympiacos |
18.75% ( -0.34) | 22.48% ( -0.17) | 58.76% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( 0.24) | 47.27% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( 0.22) | 69.5% ( -0.23) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( -0.23) | 39.14% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.14% ( -0.22) | 75.86% ( 0.21) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( 0.25) | 15.75% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.14% ( 0.46) | 44.86% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Olympiacos |
| 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.75% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 22.47% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.49% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 3% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 58.76% |
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