Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
