SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 45.68% | 25.51% | 28.82% |
| Both teams to score 53.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% | 50.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% | 72.17% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% | 21.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.74% | 55.26% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% | 31.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.92% | 68.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.19% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.64% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.31% Total : 45.68% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.82% |
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