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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
M

Lyon
2 - 0
Monaco

Toko Ekambi (75' pen.), Denayer (90')
Caqueret (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Disasi (73'), Lucas (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawMonaco
45.68%25.51%28.82%
Both teams to score 53.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79%50.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83%72.17%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04%21.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.74%55.26%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33%31.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92%68.09%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 45.68%
    Monaco 28.82%
    Draw 25.5%
LyonDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 45.68%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.28%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.82%

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