SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Villarreal |
31.83% ( -3.64) | 23.33% ( -1.13) | 44.84% ( 4.77) |
| Both teams to score 62.5% ( 2.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( 4.35) | 38.92% ( -4.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( 4.44) | 61.23% ( -4.44) |
| Maccabi Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.02) | 24.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( -0.03) | 58.29% ( 0.03) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.27% ( 3.91) | 17.73% ( -3.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.59% ( 6.35) | 48.4% ( -6.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Villarreal |
| 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.6) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( -1.34)2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.96)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.46)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.83% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.84) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.29)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.93)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.27)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.32% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.58)0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.81)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.58)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.57)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.57)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.41)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.4)Other @ 3.88% Total : 44.84% |
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