The hosts have had a slightly stronger start to the new campaign, and with their attacking qualities and Villarreal's defensive problems it should be Panathinaikos that take all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
